03-03-2017, 01:41 PM
More than one full week of dry wx coming up?
Here? Are you kidding?
Most areas will have a dry week but it does depend on where you live? Chance of some showers this week windward as local circulation patterns could bring local showers/convection but there’s a dry cap on top (high pressure dome- subsiding air) and this will limit how much rain (if any) will fall. You can certainly feel that this air at the surface is moist and muggy DP upper 60’s-Ugh. Local sea breezes could push this air up enough to cool, condense and cause rain using our island for orographic lift.- best chances will be afternoons. Coastal areas will have a much less chance for rain from this dynamic.
There two ways to get rain here, precipitation from organized systems in the Pacific Ocean which can be brought here by circulation patterns and this can be monitored here;
https://pmm.nasa.gov/trmm
Click on 3 hour rainfall map on your right and you’ll see the current organized rain pattern.
The next organized system to affect us does look to be next Thurs. March 9th. One organized system will get close this weekend and has a slight chance to get here but current pressure patterns look like it will not be able to make passage in Puna (no rain from it ). How dry is the air over us?
https://tinyurl.com/z2626e7
Click on mouseover effect Center Bottom and then scroll thru the hours and you’ll get a sense of where the dry air is. You can zoom in here too.
Try not to get hung-up on the following’s accuracy. Try to think of it as reading trends! It’s good that it changes, it shows that they are keeping current.
For timing when the best chances of rain/temp./ wind are;
https://www.google.com/#q=hilo+hi+weather+forecast
For amounts;
https://www.wunderground.com/us/hi/hilo
Long range outlook- while not specifically accurate this is good for trends;
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/hilo-hi/96720/march-weather/328444?monyr=3/1/2017&view=table
Here? Are you kidding?
Most areas will have a dry week but it does depend on where you live? Chance of some showers this week windward as local circulation patterns could bring local showers/convection but there’s a dry cap on top (high pressure dome- subsiding air) and this will limit how much rain (if any) will fall. You can certainly feel that this air at the surface is moist and muggy DP upper 60’s-Ugh. Local sea breezes could push this air up enough to cool, condense and cause rain using our island for orographic lift.- best chances will be afternoons. Coastal areas will have a much less chance for rain from this dynamic.
There two ways to get rain here, precipitation from organized systems in the Pacific Ocean which can be brought here by circulation patterns and this can be monitored here;
https://pmm.nasa.gov/trmm
Click on 3 hour rainfall map on your right and you’ll see the current organized rain pattern.
The next organized system to affect us does look to be next Thurs. March 9th. One organized system will get close this weekend and has a slight chance to get here but current pressure patterns look like it will not be able to make passage in Puna (no rain from it ). How dry is the air over us?
https://tinyurl.com/z2626e7
Click on mouseover effect Center Bottom and then scroll thru the hours and you’ll get a sense of where the dry air is. You can zoom in here too.
Try not to get hung-up on the following’s accuracy. Try to think of it as reading trends! It’s good that it changes, it shows that they are keeping current.
For timing when the best chances of rain/temp./ wind are;
https://www.google.com/#q=hilo+hi+weather+forecast
For amounts;
https://www.wunderground.com/us/hi/hilo
Long range outlook- while not specifically accurate this is good for trends;
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/hilo-hi/96720/march-weather/328444?monyr=3/1/2017&view=table