06-08-2018, 11:52 PM
bananahead - Mauna Ulu became the new Kilauea Iki in 1969... Pu'u O'o became the new Mauna Ulu in 1983, where is the next Pu'u O'o? Leilani?
This has been discussed in several other threads, but to summarize, there is no geological evidence for a long sustained (many years) source like Pu'u 'O'o in the lower east rift zone. The closest contender anyone can find has been Heiheiahulu (~ 2 miles west of 130) in the middle east rift. (did we ever get an approximate time length of activity for Heiheiahulu?)
While this doesn't prevent the possibility (as said repeatedly, we are in uncharted territory) it would be a geologically unique event as far as anyone can tell. More likely something will disrupt the rift, in the next several weeks or months, which will interrupt the supply and the magma will return to filling the summit chambers and/or finding a new outlet farther up rift. IMHO AFAIK YMMV etc etc etc
This has been discussed in several other threads, but to summarize, there is no geological evidence for a long sustained (many years) source like Pu'u 'O'o in the lower east rift zone. The closest contender anyone can find has been Heiheiahulu (~ 2 miles west of 130) in the middle east rift. (did we ever get an approximate time length of activity for Heiheiahulu?)
While this doesn't prevent the possibility (as said repeatedly, we are in uncharted territory) it would be a geologically unique event as far as anyone can tell. More likely something will disrupt the rift, in the next several weeks or months, which will interrupt the supply and the magma will return to filling the summit chambers and/or finding a new outlet farther up rift. IMHO AFAIK YMMV etc etc etc