09-09-2018, 02:45 AM
The 05:00 NOAA update has shifted the forecast track slightly southward, with Olivia brushing the northernmost bit of the Big Island instead of the southern shore of Maui. They did note in the discussion that the storm may not lose strength as quickly as they thought earlier, not good news. Hurricane hunter planes are going out early this morning to provide data to update both the models and the expected track, so they should have a more confident forecast later today. Having said that, the "cone of uncertainty" is exactly that, uncertain. Wise people are taking precautions.