02-06-2020, 07:38 PM
@ironyak
After my last post, I decided not to get into a disagreement with your version of percentages.
So, I wandered on.
Can't do that anymore.
Working with tonight's numbers:
31,487 Totally Confirmed Cases World Wide, (of which 31,175 are in Mainland China)
683 total deaths
1,610 Total Recovered
1st Reported Symptoms
12/8/19
Not sure just how long the sickness from exposure or end of incubation to resolution lasts.
But, from the numbers I've seen it looks to me that it take 2 weeks to a month or more to reach a resolution, recovery or death.
From this, most of the infected people are still in the throes of their infection that has not yet been resolved.
Infections have been growing recently from 2k to 4k per day.
They cannot be included in calculating the mortality rate yet.
This particular disease has not run long enough to be able to figure in the total cases and still be reasonably accurate about its effect.
The mortality rate has improved the last few days.
I assume the supportive care has improved with experience and is helping to bring the number of survivors up.
I'm hoping blood samples from survivors can be used in the development of a vaccine.
Anyway, 683 + 1610 = 2293 resolved infections
2293/683 = 29.8% fatality rate
The rate has improved.
A few days ago it was over 50%.
Hopefully it will continue to improve as experience grows, culminating when they create a newr vaccine for it at least couple of years down the road.
You cannot disregard the Chinese infections.
They are still a potential source of a world-wide pandemic.
Chinese medicine is not as undeveloped as you imply, blind sided, over taxed, and hampered by the attitudes and actions of those that govern them, ... yes with no doubt.
With no reported infections yet, Honolulu is now listed as an infection center.
Your government at work protecting you.
If they set the quarantine area up here, where we have nothing yet, they will protect the mainland and keep it confined to a few islands away from them.
It certainly wouldn't take long for any infections in Honolulu to reach Big Island.
Is Hawaii being written off by the powers that be as acceptable collateral damage?
The present corona virus threat is not a flu.
It is a pneumonia.
After my last post, I decided not to get into a disagreement with your version of percentages.
So, I wandered on.
Can't do that anymore.
Working with tonight's numbers:
31,487 Totally Confirmed Cases World Wide, (of which 31,175 are in Mainland China)
683 total deaths
1,610 Total Recovered
1st Reported Symptoms
12/8/19
Not sure just how long the sickness from exposure or end of incubation to resolution lasts.
But, from the numbers I've seen it looks to me that it take 2 weeks to a month or more to reach a resolution, recovery or death.
From this, most of the infected people are still in the throes of their infection that has not yet been resolved.
Infections have been growing recently from 2k to 4k per day.
They cannot be included in calculating the mortality rate yet.
This particular disease has not run long enough to be able to figure in the total cases and still be reasonably accurate about its effect.
The mortality rate has improved the last few days.
I assume the supportive care has improved with experience and is helping to bring the number of survivors up.
I'm hoping blood samples from survivors can be used in the development of a vaccine.
Anyway, 683 + 1610 = 2293 resolved infections
2293/683 = 29.8% fatality rate
The rate has improved.
A few days ago it was over 50%.
Hopefully it will continue to improve as experience grows, culminating when they create a newr vaccine for it at least couple of years down the road.
You cannot disregard the Chinese infections.
They are still a potential source of a world-wide pandemic.
Chinese medicine is not as undeveloped as you imply, blind sided, over taxed, and hampered by the attitudes and actions of those that govern them, ... yes with no doubt.
With no reported infections yet, Honolulu is now listed as an infection center.
Your government at work protecting you.
If they set the quarantine area up here, where we have nothing yet, they will protect the mainland and keep it confined to a few islands away from them.
It certainly wouldn't take long for any infections in Honolulu to reach Big Island.
Is Hawaii being written off by the powers that be as acceptable collateral damage?
The present corona virus threat is not a flu.
It is a pneumonia.
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Was a Democrat until gun control became a knee jerk, then a Republican until the crazies took over, back to being a nonpartisan again.
This time, I can no longer participate in the primary.
Was a Democrat until gun control became a knee jerk, then a Republican until the crazies took over, back to being a nonpartisan again.
This time, I can no longer participate in the primary.