03-10-2020, 02:38 PM
I tend to just scan and don't read everything on these "epidemic" threads, and many of the others too, little doubt I do miss a lot.
There's too much B.S., extraneous non essential information, personal predilections, personal ignorance and so on that seem to fill much of them.
But, that's the way of PunaWeb, take it or leave it.
I have hinted [or more strongly] at the need to prepare yourself, as best you can, for what's coming.
That's the best hope for everyone.
There is no cure for it yet.
An effective vaccine is probably at least 2 years away before it's available for us common folk.
The chances are you will acquire an immunity before a vaccine becomes available.
You and your actions are your best methods for dealing with it successfully.
This is not one of the 3 major plague [Black Death] waves that killed possibly as much as 50% of the European population during that portion occurring in the middle ages.
And, it's totally different.
It is not a flu epidemic like what followed WWI.
Again, it is totally different.
Learning about them is useful for dealing with the epidemic situation not the disease.
Knowledge has grown immensely since both of those occurred.
You do have better options in how to deal with things like this.
You do not have to just sit there shuddering and shaking, waiting for it to steam-roll you.
This is turning out to be not as deadly as it looked to be in the beginning.
I still hold that the true mortality rate of this epidemic does not include existing cases, only resolved cases, deaths and survivors.
Existing cases do not figure into the true death rate.
The epidemic is too new.
There are still 49k unresolved cases.
Now that it has moved out of China and is again growing, the mortality rate is growing again too.
It has been down to at least 4 to 5% or so, it now looks to be growing again, now in the 6 to 7% range with the number of new cases again growing.
Chances are those that died at first were the weakest with complicating factors.
That's probably why the mortality rate was near 50% at first.
As those were thinned out the % of survivors began to climb.
All that if the Chinese numbers were correct.
As with all diseases, susceptibility runs a gamut of possibilities for everyone.
Older and younger people often have health complications that can effect their outcomes.
After seeing videos of small bodies being zipped two each to a body bags, I still doubt the low death rate for younger people.
Anyway, some will be very susceptible, some will only be moderately susceptible, and some will waltz around never knowing they have or had it.
That's the way it goes.
There are things you can do to optimize your ability to deal with this.
Mostly, limit your exposure and make your body as healthy as you can, and keep it that way.
The greatest risk will be for at least a few months, maybe longer, hopefully less than a year.
Things to keep in mind:
How good are you?
How lucky are you?
Nobody gets out of this alive.
There's too much B.S., extraneous non essential information, personal predilections, personal ignorance and so on that seem to fill much of them.
But, that's the way of PunaWeb, take it or leave it.
I have hinted [or more strongly] at the need to prepare yourself, as best you can, for what's coming.
That's the best hope for everyone.
There is no cure for it yet.
An effective vaccine is probably at least 2 years away before it's available for us common folk.
The chances are you will acquire an immunity before a vaccine becomes available.
You and your actions are your best methods for dealing with it successfully.
This is not one of the 3 major plague [Black Death] waves that killed possibly as much as 50% of the European population during that portion occurring in the middle ages.
And, it's totally different.
It is not a flu epidemic like what followed WWI.
Again, it is totally different.
Learning about them is useful for dealing with the epidemic situation not the disease.
Knowledge has grown immensely since both of those occurred.
You do have better options in how to deal with things like this.
You do not have to just sit there shuddering and shaking, waiting for it to steam-roll you.
This is turning out to be not as deadly as it looked to be in the beginning.
I still hold that the true mortality rate of this epidemic does not include existing cases, only resolved cases, deaths and survivors.
Existing cases do not figure into the true death rate.
The epidemic is too new.
There are still 49k unresolved cases.
Now that it has moved out of China and is again growing, the mortality rate is growing again too.
It has been down to at least 4 to 5% or so, it now looks to be growing again, now in the 6 to 7% range with the number of new cases again growing.
Chances are those that died at first were the weakest with complicating factors.
That's probably why the mortality rate was near 50% at first.
As those were thinned out the % of survivors began to climb.
All that if the Chinese numbers were correct.
As with all diseases, susceptibility runs a gamut of possibilities for everyone.
Older and younger people often have health complications that can effect their outcomes.
After seeing videos of small bodies being zipped two each to a body bags, I still doubt the low death rate for younger people.
Anyway, some will be very susceptible, some will only be moderately susceptible, and some will waltz around never knowing they have or had it.
That's the way it goes.
There are things you can do to optimize your ability to deal with this.
Mostly, limit your exposure and make your body as healthy as you can, and keep it that way.
The greatest risk will be for at least a few months, maybe longer, hopefully less than a year.
Things to keep in mind:
How good are you?
How lucky are you?
Nobody gets out of this alive.
- - - - - - - - - - -
Was a Democrat until gun control became a knee jerk, then a Republican until the crazies took over, back to being a nonpartisan again.
This time, I can no longer participate in the primary.
Was a Democrat until gun control became a knee jerk, then a Republican until the crazies took over, back to being a nonpartisan again.
This time, I can no longer participate in the primary.

