03-24-2020, 02:07 AM
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
added another column on the right side: deaths per million.
Italy is by far the worst case scenario with 101 deaths per million. If we pretend they have peaked (which they may have), there would be another hundred or so per million on downside of their curve, so to speak.
So assuming 200 deaths per million on the big island would around 40 deaths. If we had it as bad as the worst case country so far, Italy. If the big island has it as bad as South Korea, there would be less than one death on the big island.
Makes a great argument for social distancing and doing all we can not to be Italian on this.
Cheers,
Kirt
added another column on the right side: deaths per million.
Italy is by far the worst case scenario with 101 deaths per million. If we pretend they have peaked (which they may have), there would be another hundred or so per million on downside of their curve, so to speak.
So assuming 200 deaths per million on the big island would around 40 deaths. If we had it as bad as the worst case country so far, Italy. If the big island has it as bad as South Korea, there would be less than one death on the big island.
Makes a great argument for social distancing and doing all we can not to be Italian on this.
Cheers,
Kirt