04-04-2020, 12:36 PM
knieft - Does several mean three?
I'm of the "single (1), couple (2), few (3), several (4+)" school of thought, but sure several could mean three, five, eleven or more. That's the whole point of using the word several - it's an undefined range more than 1. Also, it's the quoted term from "state leaders" in the article so maybe take your English critique to them?
China is officially in their 4th month and still has new cases occurring, 30 more just today. Way past their peak of active cases, but ever upward in total cases until it's over.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronaviru...try/china/
The IHME is one of MANY models - as no one knows for sure, why choose to believe this one over any of the others? Have you verified their assumptions and formulas for mathematical soundness, and their data sets for completeness, or do you just like its dulcet tones as it reassures you it's all going to be all right?
https://www.civilbeat.org/2020/04/the-im...-covid-19/
I like IHME as they are very clear in their how their model works and report how accurate they've been so far and how they've changed their predictions over time as new data comes in. Doesn't mean they are going to be "right" (all their numbers have a large ranges like 39k to 177k U.S. deaths currently predicted), but at least they are being open and honest with their guesswork.
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
I'm of the "single (1), couple (2), few (3), several (4+)" school of thought, but sure several could mean three, five, eleven or more. That's the whole point of using the word several - it's an undefined range more than 1. Also, it's the quoted term from "state leaders" in the article so maybe take your English critique to them?
China is officially in their 4th month and still has new cases occurring, 30 more just today. Way past their peak of active cases, but ever upward in total cases until it's over.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronaviru...try/china/
The IHME is one of MANY models - as no one knows for sure, why choose to believe this one over any of the others? Have you verified their assumptions and formulas for mathematical soundness, and their data sets for completeness, or do you just like its dulcet tones as it reassures you it's all going to be all right?
https://www.civilbeat.org/2020/04/the-im...-covid-19/
I like IHME as they are very clear in their how their model works and report how accurate they've been so far and how they've changed their predictions over time as new data comes in. Doesn't mean they are going to be "right" (all their numbers have a large ranges like 39k to 177k U.S. deaths currently predicted), but at least they are being open and honest with their guesswork.
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates