04-19-2020, 12:04 PM
Whoa, you're right, forgot the numerator:
0.95 * x /
(0.95 * x + 0.05 * (100 - x))
Sorry for the mistake!
Yes, so a 37% chance it's a true positive while at first glance one would think it's 95%. Quite the paradox.
0.95 * x /
(0.95 * x + 0.05 * (100 - x))
Sorry for the mistake!
Yes, so a 37% chance it's a true positive while at first glance one would think it's 95%. Quite the paradox.

