08-06-2013, 06:02 PM
Most Henriette modeling tacks currently have the storm going well south of the island:
http://www.hurricanezone.net/#08e
However, in the composite UWM "spaghetti" model tracks... there is one model (BAMS) that could be a reason to keep an eye on this storm, still
http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/ep082013.png
Added the BAM models are reflective of the NW drift that is exerted on a tropical cyclonic storm due to the differences of the coriolis effect (Beta advection) - the S model would be weak steering wind effects...ie: smaller cyclone...
Most likely the developing shear will get this storm...but best to know that there is a very slight chance that this storm still can veer here...
http://www.hurricanezone.net/#08e
However, in the composite UWM "spaghetti" model tracks... there is one model (BAMS) that could be a reason to keep an eye on this storm, still
http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/ep082013.png
Added the BAM models are reflective of the NW drift that is exerted on a tropical cyclonic storm due to the differences of the coriolis effect (Beta advection) - the S model would be weak steering wind effects...ie: smaller cyclone...
Most likely the developing shear will get this storm...but best to know that there is a very slight chance that this storm still can veer here...