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If I lived in Ainaloa or anywhere shown ravaged by the computer model flow, I would be concerned at this time. It isn't something you can simply be aware of and not develop some level of concern for. Just because the geologist says such a thing doesn't make it a practical statement on a human level. It's a practical statement for governing officials but not for those living in the basin.
BTW Paul that wasn't me questioning you, it was directed solely at the geologist comment. Which I found oddly impractical as he said it. It would have been better if he just said... "as we've seen many things can change between now and year from now" and left it at that.
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He's the expert but if you think you know better, good luck to you. There are many, many variables.
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Something that needs to be worked out ahead of time for any possible flows is enabling legislation for lava diversion, to take care of liability issues.
And yes it can be done within limits,the Army Corp of Engineers has done a fair amount of research.
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He's an expert Geologist, not an expert in psychological relations.
Do you really think after viewing that video people in the basin would not walk away with some concern? You don't believe they would be thinking about what they might have to do in a year or two. In upper Ainaloa it's more like 9 months away. Yes, there is and will be concern.
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"He an expert Geologist, not an expert in psychological relations."
Yes, you're right there. I do see your point.
"It may actually prove to be a benefit for all of us."
Indeed!
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Seeb,
Back in the Early 60's I would have felt safer with regard to the actions of the government on behalf of attempts to protect buildings etc. Today, here, with these reps... no way. They'd be hard pressed to tie a shoe lace in any reasonable amount of time as there would be first a study necessary to determine the impact of tying a shoe lace and then a need to have public input and then a battle over who would get the left shoe string and who would get the right shoe string and so on. By the time any dozers, blasting teams or anything else would be put in place and operational... the lava would have already hit the Pacific.
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Don't know what kind of bombs it would take but if lava is overflowing from Pu'uo'o on the side north of the ridge, then blasting a hole in the crater wall at a lower level so the lava overflows to the south-east should send it back down through Royal Gardens and Kalapana. They won't mind, right?
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lava diversion is a very dicey topic. it's gonna go somewhere. would you want your house saved so another would be destroyed? i would hope not.
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Kalapana is virtually unoccupied compared to HPP. While also being covered with recent lava ...a dicey topic?
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Two reasons have been given for the county's lack of interest in lava diversion. One is the liability for damages wherever the diverted lava ends up. The other is the anticipated opposition from Native Hawaiians on cultural and religious grounds. FWIW, the Italians have had some success with diversion on Mt. Aetna, and I would rate their organizational abilities and government efficiency on a rough par with Hawaii.
