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Erik
6E has formed in the Central Pacific & is expected to be a Hurricane by Wed 7/31/19, & we are within the latitude of the predicted storm path by late next week
Definitely something to track for now, & just make sure all of your storm prep stuff is up-to-date.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep1.sh...t#contents
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A majority of spaghetti models forecast 06EP (Eric) will pass south of Big Island. Too early for any certainty though:
https://www.cyclocane.com/erick-spaghetti-models/
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves
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Both model forms (cyclocane & CPHC models) are tightening up for Erik to pass a little closer to our south island.
If this trend continues, it is best to plan for some storm effects on our island
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Erik to pass a little closer to our south island.
South Point is in the cone. It's a good size storm so wind and rain will reach quite a distance from the center. Here's a recent GOES image:
https://www.goes.noaa.gov/dimg/west/fd/vis/10.gif
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves
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And now there is also FLOSSIE
7-E to watch for late NEXT weekend (maybe 8/4-5ish...still too early...but starting to head this way with predicted hurricane force from Wed 8/31 through at least Fri 8/3 (last prediction day) with spaghetti models show an affinity to us... at this point!
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep2.sh...t#contents
https://www.cyclocane.com/erick-storm-tracker/
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Windy.com as of now shows Flossie a direct hit here 11AM week from today.
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain...-155.102,8
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Weird, this will be the third Flossie in 12 years. First was 2007, second in 2013.
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* I'd rather fail at happiness than succeed at misery *
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Hooligal, & I am hoping this Flossie follows the path of the last 2, which were heading directly at us & got very close, but no hit!
Hurricane names are re-cylced, if there is no major damage.
I think we all remember the 2 "Flossie" storms, as they were very close to direct hits on the island, 07 to the south & just stopped & 13 from the east & veered north.
