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HILDA TROPICAL STORM WATCH CANCELLED FOR BI
#81
Does anyone recall the wind speeds that were happening when Iselle hit lower Puna, sustained and gusts?
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#82
Some of those wind gusts were up to 75 miles an hour, sustained could have been 60 mph during Iselle. Hilda shouldn't pack that kind of punch, hilda could choose to dissipate before even reaching any land fall still. Some have mentioned a pulsing action going on within Hilda, so maybe hilda will just be blown up by those much colder and stronger winds its now running into?
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#83
Peak wind gusts from Iselle were atop Mauna Kea. 96mph recorded there.
Though I would swear winds close to that were hitting spots in Puna.
Hilda aint' gonna be another Iselle, thankfully.
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.
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#84
Does anyone recall the wind speeds happening during that wind storm back in January?
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#85
I think this one is going to be far more a water issue than a wind issue. Weather service just issued a flash flood watch, predicting as much as 18 inches in some places. Hilda's forward movement is slow, which means we will be under her influence longer, with more water getting dumped on us than we saw with Iselle.
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#86
As of 5pm on Tuesday it seems we aren't even in the 'cone of probability' anymore..

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics...d=EP102015

So much for even 12 hours of accuracy.. let alone 48.. Hilda's been going 90 degrees to the predictive model in the last few reporting cycles. I get a sense these models don't know about Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea.
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#87
so the hardware stores sell 500 new generators, grocery stores sell out spam, rice, TP and water...chill people, lets knock off the fear factor that takes over common sense. Don't you think there's already enough of that going around? It's like watching the same movie 100 times.
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#88
What about Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea?
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#89
quote:
Originally posted by aikahimomma

so the hardware stores sell 500 new generators, grocery stores sell out spam, rice, TP and water...chill people, lets knock off the fear factor that takes over common sense. Don't you think there's already enough of that going around? It's like watching the same movie 100 times.


My business is in Hilo and I have been random running errands on the way home all week. None of the grocery stores or hardware stores have had anything more than the normal level of shopping this time around. Either people are just permanently prepared now or they just aren't taking this one seriously. Only time will tell wear are dealing with fear factor or common sense here.
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#90
The latest forecast "cone" shows the storm avoiding the big island to the south by nearly the same margin the forecasted cone was avoiding by the north a few days ago. Key takeaway is BE PREPARED. The NWS forecasts on this particular storm have demonstrated once again human's inability to forecast the weather.
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