Posts: 1,522
Threads: 13
Joined: Apr 2014
Just keep a blanket or two in the trunk with a jug o juice and a bar of soap, a few cans of beans and yer all set. No hurricane to use the stuff, have a picnic at the beach with the stuff you packed, take a good shower at County expense and yer still good.
Community begins with Aloha
Posts: 1,440
Threads: 4
Joined: Sep 2014
"...if Puna were to turn into a pinata at some point."
I swear I had almost made the leap on into Big Island shaped pinata territory. Yes, indeed, warped minds...
Posts: 11,009
Threads: 749
Joined: Sep 2012
Latest update, Wed afternoon:
Cone shifting to the south. Center now headed toward Cape Kumukahi, arriving early morning Tuesday?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...l#contents
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves
Posts: 282
Threads: 20
Joined: Feb 2006
"Here we go again" is sure becoming trite! Our weather is starting to look a lot like Texas, well, minus a few degees[  ]
Posts: 349
Threads: 7
Joined: Aug 2014
From "The Weather Channel" online:
quote:
Tropical Storm Iselle in a Friday morning update from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, became only the second tropical storm on record to landfall on the Big Island of Hawaii early Friday morning.
Iselle made landfall at 2:30 a.m. HST on Friday, Aug. 8 about five miles east of Pahala, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. The only other tropical storm on record dating to 1950 to come in from the east and hit the Big Island was in 1958, with peak sustained winds of 50 mph. Overall, Iselle is a rare -- if not historical -- tropical cyclone.
There were reports of structural damage, trees downed, power outages, and some flooding. Roofs were reportedly removed from homes just southeast of Hilo late Thursday night. Some parts of the Big Island picked up over a foot of rain with Kulani NWR seeing 15.05" of rain.
Iselle Rainfall Reports
Some outer rainbands have also affected parts of Maui County. Twelve-inch diameter tree branches were broken and Piiholo Road was closed by downed trees and powerlines in Makawao. Streets were flooded by 3-4 inches of water, there, as well. Winds have gusted as high as 60 mph on the island of Kaho'Olawe.
Iselle Wind Gust Reports
Winds gusted to to 72 mph at the Oahu Forest, while the Honolulu Airport was a peak wind gust of 41 mph.
Iselle then became post-tropical Friday at 11 p.m. HST, but still brought bands of heavy rain to Kauai with over 6.5" of rain reported at Kilohana.
Iselle's History
Iselle bypassed tropical depression status and formed as a tropical storm in the eastern Pacific Ocean about 1075 miles southwest of the tip of Baja California on Thursday, July 31.
Iselle gained strength as it moved west-northwest through open waters and became a hurricane on August 1. This made Iselle the fourth hurricane of the 2014 eastern Pacific hurricane season. On Saturday, August 2, Iselle's maximum sustained wind speeds increased to 110 mph, making it a Category 2 hurricane.
Iselle became a major hurricane on Sunday morning, August 3 when its maximum sustained winds reached an estimated 115 mph. It fell back to Category 2 status early Sunday evening, but then quickly re-intensified to Category 3 status late Sunday night with estimated winds to 125 mph. Monday afternoon, August 4, Iselle peaked as a category 4 hurricane with estimated maximum winds of 140 mph.
Hurricane Iselle At Its Peak
Iselle began weakening thereafter, and crossed the 140-degree West longitude line on Tuesday, August 5. This took Iselle from the Eastern Pacific basin into the Central Pacific basin. Per established convention, the storm retains its original name even while crossing into another basin with its own list of tropical cyclone names.
Iselle made landfall at 2:30 a.m. HST on August 8, about five miles east of Pahala, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. The only other tropical storm on record dating to 1950 to come in from the east and hit the Big Island was in 1958, with peak sustained winds of 50 mph. Overall, Iselle is a rare -- if not historical -- tropical cyclone.
By maximum wind speed, Iselle is the third-strongest tropical cyclone of 2014 in the Eastern Pacific basin, behind Amanda and Cristina. However, Iselle has now surpassed both of those to attain the highest accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index so far this season. The ACE index combines maximum wind speeds with the duration of the storm to estimate the total wind energy generated during a cyclone's lifetime.
@85 mph ... there would be MASSIVE damage. Hawaii has never, in recorded history been hit like that.
***Still can't figure out how to spell 'car' correctly***
Posts: 363
Threads: 1
Joined: Apr 2015
After seeing the forecast on this one I'm a lot more worried than with the others that were headed towards us this year. I really hope it changes course.
Posts: 1,930
Threads: 71
Joined: Jun 2012
Sure has been a soggy, stormy summer. This is just one projection line, with a hurricane heading straight into south Puna. We dodged the bullet so far but this one looks like it isn't projected to break up. Next few days will give better indicators.
"Aloha also means goodbye. Aloha!"
*Japanese tourist on bus through Pahoa, "Is this still America?*
Posts: 1,074
Threads: 113
Joined: Sep 2008
Looking at the 15 forecast tracks from the spaghetti models. Most of them take the storm north with only 2 tracks showing a direct hit. 3 showing skirting to the north. 2 to the south as far as I can tell. These models are a bit ambiguous.
http://www.cyclocane.com/ignacio-storm-tracker/
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.
Posts: 2,899
Threads: 489
Joined: Mar 2006
A 5 day out storm has a 300 mile margin of error which could mean a complete miss. I'll start looking at the tracts when it's 2 days out.
Posts: 1,074
Threads: 113
Joined: Sep 2008
^Thank you
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.
|
