HURRICANES IGNACIO AND JIMENA TRACKING NORTH

[PunaMauka2]

Another link which may come in handy as our very own PW predictive modeling has moved onto devastation encompassing tens of thousands of square miles and body counts numbering in the thousands: http://www.uslegalforms.com/wills/hawaii-will-forms.htm

[opihikao]

FYI: (*Snipped - More at link)


http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/break...=323287791


Gov. David Ige signed an emergency proclamation in anticipation of the arrival of Hurricane Ignacio, which forecasters say could start threatening the islands early next week.

The proclamation activates the major disaster fund set aside by the state Legislature for disaster relief, allows easier access to emergency resources at the state and federal levels, and allows the suspension of certain laws for emergency purposes, according to Ige's office.

The National Weather Service forecasts that Hurricane Ignacio could move over, or just north of, the islands as a Category 1 storm starting Monday. The system has the ability to cause widespread damage across the state, officials say.

"With our whole state engulfed in the cone of uncertainty, we ask the public to continue their preparedness efforts and monitor news media for the latest updates regarding Hurricane Ignacio," said Vern Miyagi, executive officer of the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency.

[PunaMauka2]

"The system has the ability to cause widespread damage across the state, officials say."

Even though the latest forecasting has shown improved probabilities for Puna, that is of course a possibility. Prudent to keep informed of the full scope of information and prepare, not freak out over bits and pieces of the more sensational.

[HereOnThePrimalEdge]

Here's the cone for Jimena as of Saturday morning.
You can drag the image to the right which will bring the island chain into the frame:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...k#contents

[Ino]

Looks like a close encounter with Ignacio on Monday. Hopefully we stay on the South side of the hurricane which is the weaker side. The track possibilities can be monitored here;
http://www.ral.ucar.edu/hurricanes/realtime/current/
Just click on your hurricane of interest. At this time it looks like the less worrisome Hurricane Jimena (check GFS ensemble track guidance) will veer to the North just in time to spare the Big Island.

Consider your wind exposure at your location as the counter clockwise circulation of Ignacio puts the East side of the Big island exposed to a North wind if the track stays like it is. If weather models are correct it looks like we'll just get grazed here;
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_...i?a=hi_slp

Finally Ignacio will encounter increasing SW wind shear from the subtropical jet starting on Sunday which should weaken the storm rapidly and push it to the East;
http://crownweather.com/index.php/tropic...ther-page/

Of course hurricanes are fickle things and almost anything can happen so be prepared. At this point it looks like we will avoid the worst of Ignacio. Hopefully Jimena follows the current model track and moves North away from us well in advance of a hit.

[HereOnThePrimalEdge]

NOAA Zone Forecast for Hilo/Puna
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=HIZ025

Here are the forecasts which include tropical storm conditions:

Sunday Night
Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows 58 to 78. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Monday
Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly cloudy with occasional showers. Highs 71 to 86. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Monday Night
Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly cloudy with occasional showers. Lows 59 to 78. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

Tuesday
Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly cloudy. Occasional showers in the morning...then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs 70 to 85. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

[macuu222]

Ignacio is now a category 4 hurricane with sustained winds at 140 MPH. And the tropical storm force winds extend out 130 miles. So maybe we will get some wind?

http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/break...icane.html

[Opihikaobob]

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv+12
Umm...... How come no one is talking about that huge weather system that looks about 1200 to + or minus miles due east of the Kona side.
I find that exceedingly strange, as it is the reason that we are seeing the path of Ignacio being forced in a more westerly direction - it is saving us - and no one has said a word about it.

[hotinhawaii]

Obob, what are your referring to? Hurricane Kilo is west of Kona, Ignacio is coming at us from the east and is followed by Jimena. At this time of year, these storms are precipitated by the warm equatorial ocean current and move east to west. They are all moving west.

[macuu222]

Civil defense trucks and personnel are down at HPP oceanfront right now knocking on homes advising homeowners about the anticipated storm surge. And we are now under a tropical storm "warning".

http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/break...obile=true