Rain forecast, Ino?

[Lee M-S]

Hey Ino,
it's still not raining. Get on that, willya?

[Kapoho Joe]

quote:

---

Originally posted by Lee M-S

Hey Ino,
it's still not raining. Get on that, willya?

---

Check your radar

[Lee M-S]

Ah, here's the wet stuff. Thanks for getting that going, Ino.

Radar? We don' need no stinkin' radar. Just look up at the sky.

[Kenney]

It just started dumping in HPP. Tanks filled last night.

[Obie]

NWS just issued a flash flood watch for noon today through Wednesday.

[DTisme]

quote:

---

Originally posted by ohiagrrl

The wild reaction all you men are having is making me want to know more

---

Please don't assume everyone here is a man. I would have explained that Chemtrails is "nutty conspiracy fruitcake nonsense" (thanks, Tom) as well had I come online earlier. i.e., we women explain things, too. It's not bullying to expose this stuff for what it is. Sorry you felt that way. Also, sorry folks for jumping into a thread hijack, I just have major issues with gender assumptions.

Thanks, Ino, for thorough report!

We're gonna get a lot in next few days according to my weather apps. Cars on Maku'u had to slow down to 10mph today it was coming down so hard. My weather apps say there's a whole week of it to come. Of course this comes a day after I watered like crazy!

[Ino]

“Why do different sites have different forecasts? AccuWeather says dry till tomorrow, NOAA says rain tonight but at each hour the icon is clouds (no rain), Hawaii weather now is somewhere in between. Do they all have different tools or methods of prediction? “

Most weather services that I know of use numerical models, along with a combination of observations and local knowledge;
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_...prediction

There is a new player in town though- IBM’s Watson is already delivering an AI (Artificial Intelligence) forecast-this is a first and has been around for about a year;
https://www.google.com/#q=hilo+hi+weather+forecast

This forecast is verifying really well here though not 100% but it has been beating the competition. I love that meteorology is not an exact science-there is still much we do not know. I dread the day weather modification happens as I think we’ll mess it up!

Once GOES-16 comes online-this Spring expect all wx forecasts/models to improve dramatically as the resolution of this satellite is Awe inspiring. This will lead to a better initialization of models. Better information in better forecast out.

Technology is catching up fast to wx forecasting and there are many improvements planned in the next few years;
https://weather.com/news/news/improved-g...curacy-gfs

Myself and a few others think that NOAA has made a mistake (they chose their own in house model to improve) and are not going to use the vast weather research community here in the US-(dumb);
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/03/th...lects.html

Finally a fun place to see how well the weather forecast you’re using is here;
http://www.forecastadvisor.com/Hawaii/Mo...iew/96771/

Go to search and you can select your own zip code- not all weather forecasts are represented here.

Up here in Mountain View we didn’t receive any rain until this morning but now it’s socked in-expect spotty Thunderstorms today and then more widespread downpours tomorrow as the air masses will be mixing it up right over our heads. That will be the nature of this event-uneven. Everything is coming into place, now we just need a trigger.

As for current situation a Flash Flood Watch has just been issued starting at noon today;
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/FFAHFO

Winter Storm Watch for summits above 12,500’ starting tonight
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/WSWHFO

[eigoya]

Thanks again, Ino. You have a most thorough explanation and passion for the subject which I very much appreciate. Yesterday, though, I was swearing a bit.....what suspense!! It finally rained at 7:50 after a day of leaving the windows open on the cars, having the washing out (well no washing this weekend), suitcase in the back of the truck, important papers left uncovered on steps...., ANYTHING to encourage the raingods. Love the rain somedays!!!!

[TomK]

It's just started to snow heavily on Mauna Kea's summit, so the views should be good once the clouds go away. Observatory night crews have evacuated.

[TomK]

Well, along with the blizzard warning for tonight, power is out on the summit. Not Good.