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Inflation of Mauna Loa says only a matter of time
#1
http://www.westhawaiitoday.com/2018/02/0...-it-blows/

Inflation of Mauna Loa says only a matter of time before it blows

HILO — Although Mauna Loa will not erupt this week, all signs point to an upcoming eruption in the relatively near future.

That was the conclusion of a presentation hosted by Hawaii Island Realtors and the Hawaii Island Chamber of Commerce Wednesday about the current status of the volcano and the hazards it presents.

Tina Neal, scientist in charge at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, said the volcano, which last erupted in 1984, has become “restless” in recent years and could feasibly erupt soon.

“It will erupt again,” Neal said. “So it behooves us as community leaders to prepare for that.”

Neal explained that the mountain — the largest volcano on Earth — is very active, having erupted 33 times since 1843, and presents a significantly greater risk to the island than its other volcanoes, such as the currently erupting Kilauea. Whereas Kilauea produces slow-moving, pahoehoe-forming lava, Mauna Loa has historically produced fast-moving flows that eventually form a‘a.

When Mauna Loa erupted in 1984, the lava reached within four miles of the Hilo city limits and emitted the same volume of lava in 20 minutes that Kilauea expels in a day.

A flow of lava from the summit Southwest Rift Zone of Mauna Loa can reach the South Kona coast within three hours, Neal said, as it did during an eruption in 1950. The town of Kailua-Kona is not in the path of Mauna Loa lava flows, as stated in an earlier version of this article, because it is shielded by Hualalai Volcano.

While Neal said the mountain will not erupt within the next two weeks, predicting the mountain’s activity beyond that time frame is difficult. However, because of increased seismic activity around the summit and caldera, the volcano’s status was upgraded from “normal” to “advisory” in 2015.

Magma has accumulated in subterranean reservoirs beneath Mauna Loa, Neal explained. Meanwhile, a GPS station at the mountain caldera has been pushed upward about 0.1 meters since 2012, as the mountain “inflates.”

“We are definitely moving towards an eruption,” Neal said.

In light of the probable future eruption, Big Island residents are encouraged to remain vigilant and prepared.

Barry Periatt, staff officer for Hawaii County Civil Defense, said emergency preparedness plans for lava flows are very similar to those residents should make for other disasters such as hurricanes, tsunamis and incoming ballistic missiles.

All emergency kits should include two weeks worth of supplies because of the island’s isolation from mainland supply chains. Furthermore, residents should make considerations for other personal items, pets, personal identification and documents, as well as where to rendezvous with family members.

“You need to consider that, if you evacuate, you should plan to find nothing when you return,” Periatt said.

Periatt added that Civil Defense has no plans to implement any lava diversion measures, because they would be extremely expensive and not certain to work because of the unpredictability of lava flows.

ETA: FORMATTING
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#2
Headline writing is a dying art: Inflation of Mauna Loa said only... (It is said by scientists that.....)
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#3
Civil Defense has no plans to implement any lava diversion measures

The source for a flow out of Mauna Loa would be unpredictable until near the time of eruption, and once it began it would travel quickly. That makes it extremely difficult to quickly construct a functioning berm by the time scientists figure out where it will go. Should the flow move toward the Kona side of the island, or Hilo however, county government or political officials might request a few bombing runs out of Hickam in short order to show their constituents "the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, who live in Puna."
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves
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#4
"very active, having erupted 33 times since 1843"

That's 33 times over the last 175 years, or once every 5.3 years on average.

"last erupted in 1984"

That was 34 years ago.

I'd say we are a bit overdue.
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#5
quote:
Originally posted by MarkD

Headline writing is a dying art: Inflation of Mauna Loa said only... (It is said by scientists that.....)


Unless it was Inflation itself talking. I'd totally listen if that were the case.
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#6
I'd totally listen

No doubt at some point it'd be a full on wall of sound.

Recycle Puna. Humans, although probably not you personally, have already left 400,000 pounds of trash on the moon. - YouTube's Half As Interesting
"I'm at that stage in life where I stay out of discussions. Even if you say 1+1=5, you're right - have fun." - Keanu Reeves
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#7
I never realized Kona was shielded. It could well be the BI’s future capital city.
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#8
quote:
Originally posted by PaulW

I never realized Kona was shielded. It could well be the BI’s future capital city.

From: https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanoes/hualalai/

Hualalai is the third youngest and third-most historically active volcano on the Island of Hawaii. It is considered to be in the post-shield stage of activity. Six different vents erupted lava between the late 1700s and 1801, two of which generated lava flows that poured into the sea on the west coast of the island. The Keahole Airport, located only 11 km (7 mi) north of Kailua-Kona, is built atop the larger flow. The oldest dated rocks are from about 128,000 years ago and it probably reached an elevation above sea level before 300,000 years ago. The volume of Hualalai is 12,400 km3 (2,975 mi3). Its area is 751 km2 (290 mi2).

Though Hualalai is not nearly as active as Mauna Loa or Kilauea, geologic mapping of the volcano shows that 80 percent of Hualalai's surface has been covered by lava flows in the past 5,000 years. In the past few decades, when most of the resorts, homes, and commercial buildings were built on the flanks of Hualalai, earthquake activity beneath the volcano has been low. In 1929, however, an intense swarm of more than 6,200 earthquakes rattled the area around Hualalai Volcano for more than a month. The earthquakes were most likely caused by an intrusion of magma beneath the volcano. Two large earthquakes (each about magnitude 6.5) destroyed houses, water tanks, stone fences, and roadways. For these reasons, Hualalai is considered a potentially dangerous volcano that is likely to erupt again.
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#9
quote:
Originally posted by MarkD

Headline writing is a dying art: Inflation of Mauna Loa said only... (It is said by scientists that.....)

No, it's right, albeit a bit awkward: "Inflation of Mauna Loa says [i.e., indicates] [that it's] only a matter of time before it blows"
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#10
quote:
Originally posted by DTisme

quote:
Originally posted by MarkD

Headline writing is a dying art: Inflation of Mauna Loa said only... (It is said by scientists that.....)


Unless it was Inflation itself talking. I'd totally listen if that were the case.


Wouldn't it be two people, the writer and editor, missing that one?

Damn private sector employees in Hawaii. If only they had to compete with government workers, they'd have their hats handed to them.

When will Mauna Loa blow and where will it go, we're all curious to know.

Relatively near future-this is big news.
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