2018 Hurricane Season

[tada]

Maybe that's why they call it climate change???

[TomK]

There's no reason they can't travel east, but it's extremely rare. Off the top of my head, I can't think of one that did it near to Hawaii, but Hurricane John in 1994 traveled from the eastern Pacific to the western Pacific and then turned around and headed eastwards.

https://goo.gl/3JPe52

[PaulW]

I was just reading about that, seems they can travel east after reaching a certain latitude, possibly the case with John.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/artic...est-coast/

So we don't have to worry about the eye making it anywhere near here, if I understand correctly.

[TomK]

"So we don't have to worry about the eye making it anywhere near here, if I understand correctly."

I think it's very unlikely the eye will go over the east of the island, but small eastward movements are possible as it moves northward. In fact, looking at the track of Iniki, that actually started to move slightly eastwards when it turned north towards Kauai. It'll be interesting to see what happens when Lane moves into the wind-shadow caused by Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea.

[kimo wires]

Once you're out of the cone. You can't go back into the cone.

Looks like Honolulu is in the unfortunate sweet spot. This could be really bad if it hits the most populated and unlikely area. Historic

[ElysianWort]

Remember that thunderstorm that Hector flicked up our way last week after passing south of us?

A large amount of that kind of weather will follow this one too. So Maybe for Puna, rain for a few days Wednesday Thursday and maybe even Friday is my guess. Kona might see some wind depending on the winning spaghetti track.

Praying for no disaster type scenario for our northern islands.

[Carey]

Glassnumbers... not EVERY storm, historically, seems to have dissipated, as I posted earlier, HISTORICALLY the 1871 hit Hawaii island then Maui....
Didn`t see that post?... well scroll on up to earlier this afternoon...

[Carey]

Kimo....Where did you get that silly cone info???
MANY cyclonic storms do change enough that they "go back into the cone".... some have done full donuts while traveling...
That has happened, even close to this island, in the last few decades... & happens more frequently (somehow seems mostly with the male named storms) in the Caribbean..

[knieft]

The dark sky app has it going right over big island from south point to hamakua.

Who knows?

Cheers,
Kirt

[TomK]

An interesting paper on the 1871 hurricane that hit Hawaii:

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10....-16-0333.1

(Carey - just realised this was the paper that was linked in the article you posted).