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Hurricane Carlos - Headed to Big Island?
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07-11-2009, 05:33 PM
Any thoughts?
[url][/url]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/flash-wv.html Some of the tracking info predicts a path South of the island and some say it could start to track North and hit one more islands.
07-11-2009, 09:11 PM
NOAA forecast discussion says:
HURRICANE CARLOS IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN ON WEDNESDAY EVENING. IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY MUCH ABOUT THE BEHAVIOR OF THE STORM AFTER THAT. Sounds like we have to wait and see ...but thanks for starting the topic. I certainly hope we don't get hit! 
07-12-2009, 04:31 AM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics...e#contents
judging from this wind speed model it looks like Carlos will peak in wind speed around wednesday and then diminish in intensity. Let us pray the wind speeds stay low and the storm stays far away. It's still too early to tell though. El Nino' is warming up the pacific now and that's a concern for stronger storms. We sure have had a wet summer here so far.
One Thing I can always be sure of is that things will never go as expected.
07-12-2009, 04:39 AM
Been watching it for a few days now. The thing to watch is how Carlos will do at about longitude 125 - 140. Models have the storm being reduced by wind shear removing the tops. Keep your fingers crossed http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/graphics/npac.gif 
07-12-2009, 05:51 AM
does anyone know how far it is from Hilo as of today? is it any where near the 140 degree line?
07-12-2009, 07:35 AM
10.4 N by 120.4 W as we type moving 270 degrees at 11 knots. (You can figure a degree = 60 miles or so at the equator.) We are in the mid 150's latitude or about 1800 miles as the crow flies from Carlos.
07-12-2009, 07:51 AM
thanks for your help Bullwinkle...[
 ] where do you find this information? is there a website?
07-12-2009, 07:56 AM
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