forecast vs. reality

[sputnut]

I keep checking the weather forecast for volcano and it says the expected hi temps are in the low 70's, but the actual temp each day has been in the low 80's. what gives? Even Illinois weathermen aren't that far off on a regular basis.

comin' your way soon!

[OpenD]

To me it's very simple... Volcano sits on a major climate ridge, which leads to very unstable weather, because it can easily slip and slide either way. And it often does, sometimes several times a day!

My best advice about weather forecasts in the Volcano area is to file them under: Entertainment

[DanielP]

There are so many variables that shape the weather on BI and just slight shifts in any one of them can change the weather hour to hour. It's not like having the jet stream dictating the weather like in Illinois.

[dragon2k]

Almost all weather forecasts for this island should be taken with a pound of salt.

What a great job - if I was right twice a week at my work I would be broke!

[oink]

quote:

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Originally posted by DanielP: It's not like having the jet stream dictating the weather like in Illinois.

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I would think the trades or lack thereof would produce equal or better predictability.

Pua`a
S. FL
Big Islander to be.

[kalakoa]

Forcecast for Puna: "a little sun, a little rain."

Weather reports have two useful bits of data:

- Satellite images give a clue about "more wet" vs "less wet";

- Wind speed/direction gives a hint about how fast the rain/sun/rain pattern will shift.

[bluesboy]

this webpage will give you a much better idea of what to generally expect. i read this daily and it is very informative, and accurate.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/AFD.php

if you want exact temperatures, then get a thermometer at your house.

Volcano has two very different halves - a sunny side (golf course) and a rainy side (village). you need to know where the weather station is before you generalize the readings to all of Volcano.

[vmabry]

Our favorite forecast tool for making plans, especially for kayak, beach, and fishing or just mowing the lawn! http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/eas...ek=ON#tabs

[PauHana]

My favorite forecast tool is the weather cams at UH etc. It can be sunny in Pahoa and pouring rain in Hilo, or vise versa, you get real time pictures.

[bluesboy]

yep, webcams are awesome. the HVO website has webcams facing the Puna shoreline and Kilauea Summit area.

http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/cams