earthquake

[deltaS]

Anyone feel the earthquake just now? I'm in Papaikou and felt a slight shake. Wonder where it originated.

[kimo wires]

I was feeling tired and had just laid down for a little rest when Bam!
Felt it real good and got a big surge of adrenaline. Now I'm fully awake.

In Orchidland. Wonder what the magnitude was. Felt like around 3 or 4.

[Kiana]

From USGS email alerts:
M3.7 - ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII

Preliminary Earthquake Report
Magnitude 3.7
Date-Time
17 Sep 2015 22:32:49 UTC
17 Sep 2015 12:32:50 near epicenter
17 Sep 2015 11:32:49 standard time in your timezone
Location 19.329N 155.053W
Depth 6 km
Distances
20 km (12 mi) SW of Leilani Estates, Hawaii
30 km (18 mi) SSW of Hawaiian Paradise Park, Hawaii
44 km (27 mi) S of Hilo, Hawaii
104 km (64 mi) ESE of Kailua-Kona, Hawaii
365 km (226 mi) SE of Honolulu, Hawaii
Location Uncertainty Horizontal: 0.5 km; Vertical 0.6 km

[EightFingers]

I didn't feel it , I'm on Kaloli Pt.

[shockwave rider]

On the Hilo Bay front I sure felt it, the building I am in is pretty solid, but all the light fixtures were swinging.

[dakine]

I believe this is the quake that I was speculating would happen after we had an event on 06/27/2015 west of the epicenter of today's event. As I explained then:

Todays earthquake was located in an area that has produced events of this size, and at the same depth (8 - 10 km) repeatedly over the years, at least as far back as the onset of activity at Puu Oo. It is generally believed that they are associated with the widening of the East Rift between Pauahi Crater and Puu Oo.

Often times when we have these events they will be followed by a similar sized earthquake, at a similar depth, in a location just south of Puu Oo/Kupaianaha in a few weeks to a month later.

which can be seen in it's entirety at the bottom of:

http://www.punaweb.org/Forum/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=21187&whichpage=2

For years, at least the last 30+ (i.e. as long as I have been watching) these quakes have come in pairs, about 10 miles apart (bracketing the area between the Chain of Craters Rd, and Puu Oo) similar sized, similar depth, and some relative time between the two. Just as these two appear to be.

[PaulW]

Interesting, but I think you've been "Fooled by Randomness" as the book title said.
It's very difficult to predict earthquakes and in this case your prediction "a few weeks to a month" is unfortunately off the mark.
This was over two and a half months later.

[dakine]

You can squabble with me Paul all you want but it is in the record, as I say, with a bit of time stretching from the rigid "month" yes, but regardless what I said holds try. There are quakes as the two I am pairing, going back systematically for decades. Please keep in mind it has been a part of my day to day professional concern for more than 30 years to be aware of these things. During that time I worked extremely close with research grade seismologist, geologist and deformation specialists. I am not predicting anything woo woo, just sharing facts as I have come to know them from a lifetime of documenting Kilauea's activity.

What sort of experience do you base your assumptions on?

Edited for clarity

[PaulW]

Since you dispute it, I also have to point out that your statements of location, depth and magnitude are off (or too vague) as well.
Given that much leeway, almost anything can be made to match your "prediction".
What assumptions? No experience is needed to debunk claims that are at odds with the facts.

Embrace science, embrace verifiable truth.

Please feel free to post a verifiable prediction here of earthquake activity. I'll be the first to congratulate you if you're correct.

[dakine]

I wonder Paul, have you ever considered the notion that if you can't say something nice maybe it's best to just say nothing at all? I mean, why is it you have to debunk everything? What value to the discussion are you adding? Is there some virtue in your observations? Something useful being contributed?

My only observation is there are couplets of earthquakes that happen in similar locations at similar depths, over time. What's your problem? I mean after the last few days of the I'm sorry Rob. ( Punatalk ) Suggestions ??? discussion, as seen here:

http://www.punaweb.org/Forum/topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=21491

I would think you'd just give it a break, be nice, supportive, encouraging. Is that so hard? Do you really have to make statements like No experience is needed to debunk claims that are at odds with the facts when in fact you don't site any, you don't make any statement that's backed up with any content other than your own negativism. Why? Are you just addicted to being negative?