False alarm of a 1st death

[randomq]

Knieft, thanks that's very informative.

Here's testing per million so far:
https://ibb.co/ZLyjHsk

[knieft]

Testing is one thing. Deaths are another.

We’ll see how it plays out.

Cheers,
Kirt

[Durian Fiend]

quote:

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Originally posted by hokuili

quote:

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Originally posted by Mangosteen

According to CDC 40 deaths already in Hawaii State so far this season from Common Flu.

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What's your point?

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I think he was comparing Knieft's projected deaths from Italy numbers onto Big Island from covid19 to reported deaths this season in Hawaii State from flu. They happen to be the same number. Hawaii state covers a lot more population than Big Island. Italy has had an incredibly bad death rate from the disease. I would hope a repeat of their horrors is a worst case scenario.

[Punatic007]

Northern Italy has a not so little Wuhan settlement in it's huge garment industry and the Italian government waited too long to curtail their travel.

Similarly the BI accepted cruise ships for too long. Hopefully the warmer weather, humidity and sparse population here will not allow the virus to take hold. But from what I'm seeing the times I've gone out is that a good deal of people in Pahoa and Hilo are not taking it seriously. Drive thru at Pahoa Longs for prescription and you can watch the people going in and out of the store standing close to one another and shoot the sh1t like there's no Pandemic.

[PaulW]

10,000 new cases in the USA in the last 24 hours. Stay home!
https://ncov2019.live/

[kander]

113 per million is 0.0113% death rate. in "hard hit" Italy.
60000 worse case deaths in the united states makes the yearly flu death rate 0.019% and at best case (12000 deaths) 0.0039% *per cdc stats


someones got some explaining to do.

[knieft]

Probably too soon to declare peak in Italy:

Scroll down to deaths per day...

https://www.worldometers.info/coronaviru...try/italy/