Hurricane season 2016

[shockwave rider]

Research the Fujiwara effect, you will find a better explanation than I can give you. It is pretty rare.

[ElysianWort]

Thanks shockwave. Scary

[randomq]

The latest from weather.gov:

The chance for hurricane conditions at Hilo is 4 percent, Kailua-Kona is 3 percent, and South Point is 16 percent. Also, the chance for tropical storm conditions at Hilo is 71 percent, at Kailua-Kona is 57 percent, and at South Point is 88 percent. These values are nearly the same as the last advisory. The onset of tropical storm conditions could start as early as Wednesday morning. The onset of hurricane conditions could start as early as Wednesday evening.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/HLS.ph...ber=HIZ025

[TomK]

Just to lighten the mood briefly, can you see the scary face?

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/2....29.16.jpg

[HereOnThePrimalEdge]

The Weather Underground 9 pm update shows Madeline now a Cat 1 storm with further weakening expected, and the ensemble track forecast has the storm turning away from the Big Island to the southwest tonight. Let's hope the CPHC 11 pm advisory brings more good news.

[PunaMauka2]

Took a break from pounding hundreds of nails through dozens of added hurricane ties up in the attic to see that 9pm update. Let's keep this weakening disorganization trend going. Fingers crossed until 11.

Home Depot was slamming today as one might guess. Plenty of floor help, surprisingly. Must have called in all hands on deck.

Saw a Helco worker helping a lady change a flat tire on my way home. Faith in humanity restored.

[TomK]

The 11pm update has both good and bad news. Madeline is weakening faster than anticipated, but the center of the "cone of uncertainty" has it slightly closer to South Point than the last couple of updates, and the quote is:

"On the forecast track, the center of Madeline will pass dangerously close to the Big Island (Hawaii County) late Wednesday into Thursday, where a Hurricane Warning remains in place."

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/arc...1608310901

[wecelli]

https://twitter.com/KITV4/status/770920132239425536
Still no turn to the SW with Madeline, track shifted closer to Big Island. If no turn by 5 AM, expect a shift north

[leilanidude]

2am update has her very slightly moving WSW at 260 degrees instead of the last couple days of 270 degrees.

Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 20A
Issued at 200 AM HST WED AUG 31 2016
SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
Location: 19.3N 152.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
Maximum sustained winds: 90 MPH...150 KM/H
Present movement: W or 260 degrees AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
Minimum central pressure: 980 MB...28.94 INCHES

[Carey]

5am, some weakening, 80mph
260 track

Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 021
Issued at 500 AM HST WED AUG 31 2016
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
Location: 18.9N 153.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 355 MI...565 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
Maximum sustained winds: 80 MPH...130 KM/H
Present movement: W or 260 degrees AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
Minimum central pressure: 988 MB...29.18 INCHES